Thursday, 21 September 2017

26. FIFTY FIFTY

This time last year, we had GWS or the Western Bulldogs to enter a Grand Final for the first time (ever or for 55 years)
Today we have


And there is also Adelaide who are without a Grand Final since 1998, and of course 'long suffering' Geelong.


The Wash-Up:

Once again 50% last weekend to match the 50% from the week before. And almost a pair of blow-outs. Geelong just not going hard enough.

HOME AWAYVENUEPREDICTIONRESULTRANKING PT CHANGES
GWSvWest CoastSydSGWSby18pts64GWSby67ptsGWS18West-18
GeelongvSydney/SMFCMCGSydnby7pts45Geelby59ptsGeel21Sydn-20



The below is the table only for the active teams. GWS move back to 3rd place.

AFTER ROUNDSFptstable
1Adelaide136730
2Sydney/SMFC136640
3GWS1240141
4Richmond1226402
5Geelong122420
6Port Adelaide1221-8-3
7West Coast1154-60





The Week Ahead:

Like most pundits, the FMI numbers lean to the home teams.

HOME AWAYVENUEPREDICTION
AdelaidevGeelongAdelAdelby28pts71
RichmondvGWSMCGRichby11pts59

Both the above have the HGA advantage employed, and in the Saturday game, it maybe the difference.


The two remaining weeks and three games...


SEPTEMBER RUNS
EF / QFSEMISPRELIMGRAND FPREMIER
Adelaide1001009545
Geelong10010010051
Richmond1001009154
GWS10010010091
Port Adelaide100
Sydney/SMFC100100
Essendon100
West Coast100100
Units above are % chance of playing each week of finals

Geelong and GWS are likely to miss the grand final, and then it is not much more than a coin toss for Premier.

Or not!

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