Tuesday, 30 August 2016

23. TICKED OFF / OVER

Sunday was not the best here at the FMI campus, and from that came the below tweet.


Ticked Off

After a day of thinking further, it still stands as relevant.
The world has changed and new teams have come to football. They may have few fans and they may have been granted generous start-up concessions. But how to do you grow a club for a zero base without a seed?

A whole region of very populated Sydney is there for the AFL to expand into and for us as footy fans to bring into the culture we all love. We should be embracing expansion. Inculcating the joy of footy, our home-grown product, to others.
Often we say that Aussie Rules is the best game in the world, but the very same scoff at the notion of bringing others in. Why put that wall up to West Sydney, or New Zealand or any other region in the world? If its the best game there is, then share the love!



And please don't fire off about how its franchise footy for the AFL to make more money out of. Its a significant investment in growth. It provides you with another 2.5 hours of live action. It employs 40+ more players, and other staff, caterers etc over two clubs and a game a weekend.

Your club also cares little more for you than the content of your wallet. Always have. The entire break of the VFL away from the VFA was to build the bigger teams in Victoria to become the premier teams. You were wallets to be emptied from then on, with cramped and crowded terraces, with primitive cover and all-but open sewers for public conveniences.

The recent modernizing via rationalization has seen further gouging of wallets. Ordinary fans pushed further to the extremities of the stands to allow for fatter wallets to sit front and centre. Or better still, the fattest wallets get to sit behind glass, or in fenced off members areas.

So dont be upset about 'the franchise' taking a spot in the finals.
Instead look to the 22 lads who will be playing that day. They still had to go out there and win those games, in the wet and dry, cold and heat. And before that they had to endure all the training, weights and skill sessions, and endless running.

Don't disregard that GWS is actually - get this - a very good football team capable of beating all others on any given day.
Don't disrespect them, like members of Richmond did, by calling for coaches heads and a spill of the board after a defeat. They had, up to that point already defeated Geelong, Hawthorn, Sydney, and the Bulldogs. That's a decent effort!

No finals spot is ever given to anyone club. These kids earned it.
Please, at least acknowledge that effort.





So the home and away season ends with circus music, a close one and a few fighting farewells.
And enough big wins and turn-ups to upset the apple cart for tipsters.

PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
Hawthornby27ptsHawthornby1ptsHawthorn-13Collingwood+18
Carltonby23ptsEssendonby24ptsEssendon+17Carlton-18
Adelaideby21ptsWest Coastby29ptsAdelaide-19West Coast+17
St Kildaby49ptsSt Kildaby58ptsSt Kilda+9Brisbane Lions-13
Sydney/SMFCby52ptsSydney/SMFCby113ptsSydney/SMFC+30Richmond-25
Port Adelaideby21ptsPort Adelaideby23ptsGold Coast-3Port Adelaide0
Geelongby25ptsGeelongby111ptsGeelong+23Melbourne-24
GWSby1ptsGWSby37ptsNorth Melbourne-18GWS+22
W Bulldogs/FFCby20ptsFremantleby20ptsFremantle+14W Bulldogs/FFC-19

Only 6 right this week. Leaves the targeted tip percentage perilously close to going under, and the MAE and Monash average have already fallen below the mark too.

Nine more games to get them back on track.

Yes, that's right, the tips continue to roll in and flail about for 4 more weeks - 5 if you include this bye-type arrangement.

Before that... this!
RANKINGSPre:R 24
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1Sydney/SMFC142431+1
2Adelaide1399-18-1
3GWS136122+1
4West Coast134718+1
5Hawthorn1331-12-2
6Geelong131324
7North Melbourne1195-18
8W Bulldogs/FFC1186-19
9Port Adelaide11821
10Collingwood109618
11Melbourne1022-24
12St Kilda10179
13Richmond972-24
14Fremantle90214+1
15Carlton886-17-1
16Gold Coast856-3
17Essendon69317
18Brisbane Lions629-12

Look at all that top 5 movement, and a blanket finish from 2nd to 6th. Also, it would be something if Hawthorn could pick up a 4th flag in a row after finishing the home and away season 5th.


Ticked Over

Speaking of 'on-track', sadly 2016 is officially the worst for margins of 60 points or more. 49 achieved this year is the new high water mark.

Contributors to that effort - Brisbane with 10 occurrences, Essendon with 9 and the Suns with 6 the key culprits. The key damage doo-ers were Sydney and GWS with 7 each, and Adelaide with 6.

Full list here:
2016 BLOW OUT BIN
RNDHOMEGBPAWAYGBPMARGIN
MARGINS OVER140pts02015 mark0of benchmark
MARGINS OVER120pts12015 mark1100%of benchmarkKPImet!
20Adelaide2715177Brisbane Lions6339Adelaideby138
MARGINS OVER100pts62015 mark4150%of benchmarkKPImet!
6Geelong2518168Gold Coast7648Geelongby120
23Sydney/SMFC2514164Richmond7951Sydney/SMFCby113
23Geelong2411155Melbourne6844Geelongby111
12Essendon6743Hawthorn2313151Hawthornby108
8West Coast2012132St Kilda31129West Coastby103
MARGINS OVER80pts172015 mark17100%of benchmarkKPImet!
19Brisbane Lions111379Port Adelaide2523173Port Adelaideby94
22GWS1915129Fremantle5737GWSby92
8GWS2217149Gold Coast9458GWSby91
19Fremantle7547Sydney/SMFC2111137Sydney/SMFCby90
11Adelaide1919133St Kilda6945Adelaideby88
19GWS179111Richmond3523GWSby88
4GWS2219151Port Adelaide91165GWSby86
12Brisbane Lions91064Fremantle239147Fremantleby83
19Adelaide2211143Essendon9761Adelaideby82
7Sydney/SMFC2015135Essendon71254Sydney/SMFCby81
20Carlton7951St Kilda1918132St Kildaby81
MARGINS OVER60pts492015 mark48102%of benchmarkKPImet!
1Sydney/SMFC1825133Collingwood71153Sydney/SMFCby80
11Fremantle206126Essendon61147Fremantleby79
17Brisbane Lions91367GWS2214146GWSby79
8Brisbane Lions10565Collingwood2023143Collingwoodby78
15West Coast2010130Essendon71052West Coastby78
7Port Adelaide2110136Brisbane Lions71759Port Adelaideby77
10West Coast2012132Gold Coast71355West Coastby77
6GWS2414158Hawthorn121183GWSby75
9Gold Coast11874Adelaide2217149Adelaideby75
7Gold Coast14387Melbourne2416160Melbourneby73
21Fremantle11470Adelaide2116142Adelaideby72
22Collingwood1622118Gold Coast61147Collingwoodby71
11North Melbourne1816124Richmond71254North Melbourneby70
18Hawthorn1618114Richmond51444Hawthornby70
21St Kilda111076Sydney/SMFC238146Sydney/SMFCby70
3Geelong1817125Brisbane Lions71456Geelongby69
5Collingwood2210142Essendon11773Collingwoodby69
4West Coast1817125Richmond9357West Coastby68
9North Melbourne1711113Carlton61046North Melbourneby67
11Collingwood71658Port Adelaide1911125Port Adelaideby67
20Sydney/SMFC1416100Port Adelaide4933Sydney/SMFCby67
20Geelong1510100Essendon41034Geelongby66
1W Bulldogs/FFC1513103Fremantle5838W Bulldogs/FFCby65
1West Coast2610166Brisbane Lions1512102West Coastby64
6West Coast1816124Collingwood9862West Coastby62
14GWS1819127Carlton91165GWSby62
1Gold Coast1719121Essendon9660Gold Coastby61
3Port Adelaide1710112Essendon7951Port Adelaideby61
2Carlton101171Sydney/SMFC2011131Sydney/SMFCby60
9Melbourne1914128Brisbane Lions91468Melbourneby60
16Carlton7547Adelaide1611107Adelaideby60
22Brisbane Lions10969Geelong1915129Geelongby60