Tuesday, 21 February 2017

NWL: 4- TIMED OUT

Comment:

Last week's post was about the respect that the AFLW will instill in the youngsters coming through our school systems. Where girls and boys can see equal achievements among themselves through their schooling, and will now also see that reflected in society, principally via the AFL.

But still there are old heads out there that need changing, but one suspects never will.
For example - the comments in this article
AFL investigating introduction of mother-son rule to allow sons of AFLW players to play for their clubs
Second thoughts, better off not reading the comments.

And then there is the sports radio station, that delighted in switching its chat hours straight over to men's preseason games, giving ample time and weight to any preseason game. Games that are basically proving grounds for youth on the cusp or strategies and plans.
A competition where you had a much lauded premiership coach disinterested in winning. Chat about this competition took precedence over a genuine (albeit fledgling) premiership season.

Worse still, hours were devoted to the regulation Timmy from Thomastown talk of "how do you think the Magpies will go this season, Mr Leonard?". All earnest chat about a preseason game when the women's team had a do-or-die must-win game coming up. Because 'priorities', right?

And there was also a few veiled references to the 'its good to have footy back' meme, with the unspoken 'real footy' inferred in tone but unsaid.
Closest most got were to say "its good to have 'high scoring' footy back". Thanks Spud. So close to the edge again.


And then you also have this commentary...


Respect, hey?

Didn't last very long.

[footnote: as much as that is a slight at SEN, they do at least broadcast the games and have a few presenters who stand up for the women's game - fair's fair]




Week 3 Wash-up:

This weekends results have again filtered the better teams out, with two undefeated teams and three without a win.

PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
GWSby8ptsGWSby0ptsGWS-10Fremantle+2
Brisbane Lionsby14ptsBrisbane Lionsby4ptsBrisbane Lions-4Collingwood+3
W Bulldogs/FFCby1ptsMelbourneby14ptsW Bulldogs/FFC-10Melbourne+7
Adelaideby8ptsAdelaideby3ptsAdelaide-2Carlton+9


Also, as the standard issue FMI ratings are predicting with more accuracy, and the ranking table is more reflective of the current standings, the pre-adjusted ratings have been scrapped.

So the current rankings are:

RANKINGSPre:R 4
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1Carlton10389+1
2Adelaide1037-2-1
3Brisbane Lions1022-4-
4Melbourne10057-
5W Bulldogs/FFC987-10-
6Fremantle9753+1
7Collingwood9674+1
8GWS967-9-2


Tips For Week 4:

All the tips are here and again, barring any venue change will remain current for the weekend.

HOMEAWAYVENUEPREDICTED RESULT
RND 4
Melbourne0v0CarltonCaseCarltonby4pts
Brisbane Lions0v0GWSSoutBrisbane Lionsby13pts
W Bulldogs/FFC0v0CollingwoodWhitW Bulldogs/FFCby3pts
Fremantle0v0AdelaideFremFremantleby1pts

Big games coming up, as Melbourne and Carlton have to win to keep a finals spot alive, and so too the Bulldogs. Those three are also calling on GWS and Fremantle to play hard and win their first game against Brisbane and Adelaide, and in doing so open the finals door a touch wider.

A big weekend for AFLW, possibly its most important games to date.

Monday, 13 February 2017

NWL: 3- R E S P E C T

Comment:

This little league that the AFL has set on its way rolling down the footballing landscape shows no sign of slowing down after eight games.
Crowds remain healthy and are genuinely enjoying football with meaning in February. Yes the 'with meaning' text is there as a reminder of the 'hit and giggle' nature of the AFL men's preseason competition.

These games are layered with meaning and intent, more so than the four premiership points alluded to above. A lot has already been written, said, or sung about how this league is a 'game changer' and that young girls are now inspired to do what the boys do, and grow up to be football players.

Less has been commented on about how young boys of early primary school age will now grow up (for all intents and purposes) only knowing that girls and boys can both progress to the same levels. 
And it extends beyond football. Knowing girls can reach the same footballing heights will further re-enforce equality across other platforms too. Business, arts, medicine, academia, engineering.
Already women excel in these areas, and the move of the dominant sports code to provide equity will drive more to think differently.

Its another driver towards greater respect for women.


Now, if only the league would also respect the competition more.
How on Earth clubs like Brisbane and Collingwood were able to 'win' licences with the barest of facilitates at grounds is unfathomable.
What message does it send to your players and fans that you consign them to barren fields without seating and shade? Without basic services for patrons? With limited transport options?
What sort of bids were made, and under what sort of 'minimum tender requirements' process?

...Sorry, over stepped the mark there in assuming there was some sort of formal bid process with minimum requirements.

From day one of the license request for bid, the league has dis-respected its own competition. 



Speaking of respect, Aretha Franklin announced her impending retirement from show business this last week.
Respect.







Week 2 Wash-up:

This weekends results have further sorted the wheat from the chaff.

PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
W Bulldogs/FFCby7ptsAdelaideby25ptsW Bulldogs/FFC-16Adelaide+23
Carltonby11ptsCarltonby13ptsCarlton+10GWS-9
Melbourneby1ptsMelbourneby19ptsCollingwood-19Melbourne+9
Fremantleby5ptsBrisbane Lionsby13ptsFremantle-16Brisbane Lions+14

Only two correctly tipped under normal FMI rules.

And only 1 correct using the skewed data, as below.

PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
W Bulldogs/FFCby23ptsAdelaideby25ptsW Bulldogs/FFC-24Adelaide+30
Carltonby15ptsCarltonby13ptsCarlton-1GWS0
Collingwoodby9ptsMelbourneby19ptsCollingwood-27Melbourne+13
Fremantleby8ptsBrisbane Lionsby13ptsFremantle-16Brisbane Lions+15

All of which is grist for the mill of ditching the pre-adjusted rankings.

So the current rankings are:

FMI RANKINGSsubFMI RANKINGS
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRKTEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1Adelaide103923+11W Bulldogs/FFC1071-24-
2Carlton102910-12Collingwood1043-27-
3Brisbane Lions102614+13Brisbane Lions104115-
4Melbourne9989+14Fremantle1013-15-
5W Bulldogs/FFC997-16-25Melbourne100114-
6GWS976-9+16Adelaide96831+1
7Fremantle972-15-17Carlton967-1-1
8Collingwood964-18-8GWS8891-



Tips For Week 3:

All the tips are here and again, barring any venue change will remain current for the weekend.

HOMEAWAYVENUEPREDICTED RESULT
RND 3
GWS0v0FremantleBlacGWSby8pts
Brisbane Lions0v0CollingwoodSoutBrisbane Lionsby14pts
W Bulldogs/FFC0v0MelbourneWhitW Bulldogs/FFCby1pts
Adelaide0v0CarltonThebAdelaideby8pts



HOMEAWAYVENUEPREDICTED RESULT
RND 3
GWS0v0FremantleBlacFremantleby6pts
Brisbane Lions0v0CollingwoodSoutBrisbane Lionsby7pts
W Bulldogs/FFC0v0MelbourneWhitW Bulldogs/FFCby8pts
Adelaide0v0CarltonThebAdelaideby8pts


Brisbane tipped to go 3-0 to start the year, as too Adelaide.
Could we be headed for an all non-Victorian Grand Final at the MCG?